Kutyisidzira kwa2023 kuhupfumi hwenyika nezvematongerwo enyika 2w70s

Kutyisidzirwa kwa2023 kunokurudzirwa necovid-19 denda uye Hondo yeUkraine, nyika yakatambura nhevedzano yenjodzi dzevanhu nehupfumi izvo zvakakanganisa kushanda kwenzanga pasi rose, kubva pakukwira kwenzara kusvika pakusawirirana kwenyukireya. 6n6o2r

Nehupfumi hwakaderera, nyika zhinji dzine urombo uye dzichiri kusimukira dzinotambura nehurombo, kusanaya kwemvura kwakanyanyisa uye dzave pedyo nenyika dzakapfuma dzine mamiriro makuru ekukurira matambudziko. Semuenzaniso, kukwira kwemitengo yesimba repasi rose kunokonzerwa nekupinda kweRussia kwe Ukraine, nekuwedzera kwehukoshi uye kuwanikwa kwakaderera kwekugadzira zviwanikwa, nyika dzisina budiriro hadzina kuwana mari yakakwira kuti vazvichengetedze sepamberi pekupokana.

Ko kutyisidzira kwa2023 kunotyisa here? 5n5j6q

Muhurukuro nechiteshi Big Funga, Ian Bremmer, muvambi weboka racho Eurasia, yakaratidza kutyisidzira kwakawanda kungangove zvichienderana nekuongororwa kwengozi kwakaitwa nekambani kwegore rino. Muzvinabhizinesi akataura kuti China, Russia neIran ndidzo nyika dziri kunetsekana zvakanyanya munyaya dzenyukireya nehupfumi.

Ian inotaura nezvekuwedzera kwe radicalism mu Vladimir Putin, mutungamiri weRussia nekuda kwekupinda kwe Ukraine uye kudzvinyirirwa kwezviito zvekurwisa hondo, zve Xi Jinping, mutungamiri we China, nekuda kwekuiswa kwesimba musimba rake, kuvhara kukomba kune vanopikisa uye ebrahim raisi, purezidhendi weIran, nekuda kwekunyanyisa mune zvechitendero kune vakadzi uye kusawirirana ne Izirayeri.

Uyezve, inotaura nezvemvura uye simba sekuwedzera kusaenzana kwepasi rose nekuda kwekushomeka kwezviwanikwa, yekutanga nekuda kwekuwanikwa kwakaderera uye kushomeka kwepasirese kunetseka, uye simba nekuda kwekuwedzera kwemitengo yepasirese. Tarisa kubvunzurudzo na Ian:

O showmetech akaita runyoro rwekutyisidzira kukuru kwegore rino kuti iwe ugone kuramba uri pamusoro pematambudziko makuru atingangotarisana nawo:

Kuderera kwehupfumi 134e69

Muvambi we Eurasia inoshuma kuti kusvika makore mashoma apfuura hupfumi hwaikura uye huchifarira "vashandi vepakati veboka", zvisinei chokwadi chitsva chiri kugadzira nzvimbo dzisina kurongwa, kuwedzera kushanya kwepabonde nechinangwa chekushandiswa kwevakadzi nevana.

Bremmer inounza data kubva United Nations iyo inoshuma kuti makore mashanu ebudiriro yehuwandu hwepasi rose akarasika pakati pa5 na2020. Chirongwa Chekudya Kwenyikae(WFP) inotaura kuti nzara uye kushomeka kwezvokudya zvinobata vanhu mamiriyoni 349 munyika 70, kuwedzera kwevanopfuura mamiriyoni 200 denda risati rasvika.

WFP inoratidza sezvikonzero kuwedzera kwemafetereza, nekuda kwekuderera kwekugadzirwa kwegasi muRussia, iyo inogona kuunza domino mhedzisiro inozokanganisa mupunga, gorosi, soya uye chibage mapurazi pasi rese, nekuwedzera, kusawirirana kwematunhu kunoita kuti kupihwa kwechikafu kusagoneke. kumaguta nenjodzi dzinongoitika dzoga dzinoparadza zvirimwa zvikonzero zvekuwedzera uku kwenzara sekutyisidzira kusvika 2023, pasina kuvandudzwa kunotarisirwa, sezvakaratidzwa ne WFP.

Kushaikwa kwemabasa kwakanyanya uye kuvhiringwa kwechikafu uye zvinhu zvekuisa zvinhu zvakakonzera kukwira kwemitengo yepasirese nevanhu vasina simba rekutenga kana chekutenga, Ian anoti nyika dzakashandisa mari yakawanda muzvirongwa zvemagariro kuchengetedza vanhu vari vapenyu panguva yekuvharwa kweCovid-19. izvi zvose, muhupfumi hwepasi rose, zvakakonzera kuderera kwekukura kubva pa6% muna 2021 kusvika ku3% muna 2022 uye pasi pe2% inotarisirwa gore rino, kuwedzera kunowedzera kusaenzana uye dambudziko rehupfumi uye kana richiita chipingamupinyi kwete. chete ye2023, asi kwemakore mazhinji ari kuuya.

Pakati pezvikonzero, tinogona kutaura Hondo ye Ukraine, iyo inofambisa kuwedzera kwesimba nekusavapo kweRussia mumusika wepasi rose wekugadzira zviwanikwa, kukwira kwemafuta kwakakumbirwa na Sangano rePetroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), iyo inodzora huwandu hwekugadzirwa kwepasi uye kudziya kwepasi kuchikonzera kukwira kwegungwa, kuwedzera huwandu hwemadutu nemafashamo.

Kusanaya kwemvura pasi rose 116l5u

Kushaikwa kwemvura ndechimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kunetsa munharaunda, asi yanga isiri iyo yekutanga kuisirwa mari pasi rose, nyika dziri kumaodzanyemba kweSahara nerenje dziri kuramba dzichida zviwanikwa zvemukati kuti dziwane mvura yekudiridza nekudiridza, chidzidzo chakaburitswa mupepanhau. Zvisikwa Kugadzikana inotaura kuti chikamu che90% chevanhu chichakanganiswa nekupisa kwakanyanya kana kusanaya kwemvura.

Ao muzvarirwo, munyori wetsvakurudzo Jiabo Yin akataura kuti South America, India, China norunyanga nezasi Africa ichave yakanyanya kukanganiswa, mushumo unotaura kuti greenhouse effect inokonzerwa nekubuda kwegasi ndiyo inonyanya kukonzera izvi.

Africa pari zvino yakatarisana nekusanaya kwemvura zvakanyanya mumakore makumi mana adarika uye izvi zvinotarisirwa kuenderera mberi muna 40. Kenya, Somalia neEthiopia ndidzo nyika dzanyanya kutambudzika nekuti vanhu vanosvika mamiriyoni makumi maviri vari kutambura nenyota nenzara.

Ian Bremmer anoti mubvunzurudzo yake kuti kunze kwenzvimbo dzine mvura shoma, matunhu akaita seFlorida, uye muno muBrazil seyakanyanya kumahombekombe uye akabatana nemadziva nenzizi, anobatwa nemafashamo nemafashamo, izvo zvinokonzeresa kuparadzwa uye kutamiswa kwevanhu. Mamiriro ezvinhu akakoshawo kune varimi nevarimi, shanduko yekupisa uye kusagadzikana kwemvura ine hutsinye matambudziko ekugadzirwa kwechikafu.

Anotaurawo nezveMusangano weUnited Nations pamusoro pemvura, uyo wakafuratirwa nechikamu chesosaiti chinokwanisa kugadzirisa matambudziko aya, uye chave kungove chinhu chakakosha.

Kupesanisa geopolitics 6y364t

World geopolitics inoita kunge yakanyanya kutyisa muna 2023, paine gakava riripo Russia e Ukraine kure nekupedza uye vanobatana ramba uchitumira zvombo nemotokari nokuda kwenyika yakapambwa, the China kufanira kuverenga nekuda kweiyo post-covid 19 kuderera and the Iran kusveta ne United States e Izirayeri nekuda kwekutyorwa kwekodzero dzevanhu uye kurudziro yezvombo zvenyukireya.

Zvisinei, haisi nyika idzi chete dzinotambura nekumukirana kwakakurumbira, mukutaura kwake Ian anotaura kurwiswa muBrasília, pa08/01, uye iyo yeUnited States Capitol, muna Ndira 6, 2021, asi nekuwedzera, kufambira mberi kwekodzero yakanyanyisa, inokonzeresa zviitiko zviviri zvataurwa, pamwe nekusagutsikana kwakawanda pamusoro pehurumende kana udzvinyiriri kunogona kuunza mhirizhonga yakawanda munharaunda. pasi rese, kunyangwe zvakatoitika muna 2021 uye zvichitungamirwa necovid-19 uye kudzikira, vaigona kuwana simba.

Iran 271x42

Iyo Iranian republic iri kusangana neruzhinji rwekuratidzira kwakakurumbira mushure me kufa kwemukadzi mudiki Zita Mahsa Amini, nokuda kwokusapfeka jira rake zvakanaka, paakasungwa ne“mapurisa etsika” muna December. Kunetsana nenyika dzekumavirira kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera zvichitevera kusawirirana kuchangobva kuitika pakati penyika dzepasi rose dzichikurudzira kuti munyika muve nehutongo hwejekerere uye kupedzwa kwemhirizhonga inoitirwa vanhukadzi munyika.

Nyika ichiri muchikamu chakaoma chenhaurirano neNorth America uye Izirayeri, pakusunungurwa kwevanofungidzirwa kuti vasungwa veAmerica kubva kunyika yePezhiya, mamiriro ezvinhu aya akaita kuti vabude muchibvumirano chenyukireya, vaJudha vachivimbisa chiito kana vakasaisa vaifungidzirwa kuva nhapwa. Muna 2023, tarisiro ndeyekuwedzera kusawirirana uye kurwisana kwevagari vemo Iran, asi hapafaniri kuva nekurwisana kwenyika dzakawanda.

Russia x Ukraine 6w3j1a

Hondo pakati penyika mbiri dzeEurope yave kusvika pakusvitsa gore rimwe chete uye inoratidza mativi maviri mumamiriro ezvinhu akaoma kupfuura hondo. A Russia sezvo chikonzero chekunetsana chinotenderwa uye kubviswa kubva pachinhanho chenyika, zvisinei nekugamuchira rubatsiro kubva Iran e Belarus mukukonana. Mukati, semunyika yePezhiya, kune kuratidzira kunopesana nehondo uye kupandukira uye vakatarisana nechisimba, kusvika pakurambidza kutaurwa kwemashoko akadai se "kupinda" uye "hondo" ari kurangwa sekupandukira nemutemo.

Gasi reRussia uye kugadzirwa kwesimba, rakarambwa nenyika dzeEurope panguva yehondo, ndeimwe yembiru dzedambudziko rehupfumi muna 2023, zvichikonzera kukwirira kwenhoroondo kwete musimba nemafuta chete, asi zvinogona kuwedzera chikafu nezvimwe zvinhu zvisina maturo nekuda kwekuwedzera kwe mutengo wezvinhu zvokushandisa uye zvekufambisa.

Ukraine iri pakati pehuwori, Mutungamiri Volodimir Zelensky vadzinga kana kugamuchira kusiya basa kwevane zvinzvimbo zvepamusoro muhurumende yavo. Wekutanga ndiVasyl Lozynskyy, gurukota rezvekusimudzirwa kwematunhu, vakasungwa neNational Anti-Corruption Bureau, vachipomerwa mhosva yekutambira US$400 yekuti vakwanise kutora makondirakiti emidziyo yakaomarara yakaita semagwenya emagetsi. Kumwe kudonha kwaive kwaKyrylo Tymoshenko, mutevedzeri wemukuru wevashandi, akasiya chinzvimbo chake mushure mekuonekwa seanogona kushandisa zvisirizvo mota dzeveruzhinji.

Zelensky anotambura nekuderera uye haaite senge ari pedyo nekugadzirisa, gorosi rekuUkraine riri kudonha uye richikuvadza nyika yezvirimwa, panguva ino yechando, kugadzirwa kunotarisirwa kudonha kusvika kumamiriyoni gumi nemashanu emamiriyoni, zvichienzaniswa ne15 miriyoni gore rapfuura, nyika. yatova mugadziri mukurusa munyika hondo isati yatanga.

China uye Xi Jinping 4i4i40

Ian Bremmer anodana Mutungamiri weChina Xi Jinping "mutungamiri weChina asina kupokana", achiti Xi akazvisunungura kubva pamiganhu uye akadzivirirwa mukati mebato reCommunist. Chokwadi ndechekuti Jinping akavhura nyika ndokupedza zero covid policy, iyo yakaitwa kubva kutanga kwedenda kusvika Mbudzi 2022, danho iri rakaguma nerekodhi nyaya dzechirwere munyika. Kunyangwe China ichizodzikisa nhanho yekukurumidzira uye kubvisa kudiwa kwekuvharirwa kupinda munyika.

China yakatambura nemusika wekutengesa zvivakwa uye kuvharwa kwenyika, ichidzikisira hupfumi uye kugadzira matambudziko ezvichauya muna 2023, kutsvaga kuchengetedza vanobatana neWest pedyo, asiwo kudzoreredza maindasitiri eChina kumusoro kweiyo nyika. musika, Xi anogona kuzunungusa hupfumi hwenyika.

Veja zvimwe:

Mazano ekuchengetedza pasi uye sensational zvigadzirwa!

Source: Big Funga, Indian Express, DW, WFP, CNN